Saturday, September 18, 2010

NFL Week 2 Picks

I picked 9 out 16 last week against the spread using a completely non-football basis.

This week I will change things up a little bit and make my selections based on a football statistic that realistically has nothing to do with this week's game. I am going into the Way Back Machine and selecting the games this week based on the team with a better running game in 1990. Why rushing yards and why 1990? Hey, let's face it; it shouldn't matter. The point is that I could just as easily throw darts at a board to pick them (week 11). But at least this approach gives me a little research to do.

The rules for this week's selections are simple, if your predecessors had more rushing yards than your opponent's predecessors in 1990 you get the selection. Regardless of whether or not I like you. Got that Jets? If you had no predecessors in 1990 too bad, you had zero yards for the year.

So here they are.


Visitors 1990 Rushing Yds. Home 1990 Rushing Yds. Selection Point Spread
Philadelphia Eagles 2,556 Detroit Lions 1,927 Philadelphia Eagles -6.0
Chicago Bears 2,436 Dallas Cowboys 1,500 Chicago Bears +7.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1,626 Carolina Panthers 0 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0
Kansas City Chiefs 1,948 Cleveland Browns 1,220 Kansas City Chiefs +2.0
Arizona Cardinals 1,912 Atlanta Falcons 1,594 Arizona Cardinals +6.5
Miami Dolphins 1,535 Minnesota Vikings 1,867 Minnesota Vikings -5.5
Pittsburgh Steelers 1,880 Tennessee Titans 1,417 Pittsburgh Steelers +5.0
Baltimore Ravens 0 Cincinnati Bengals 2,120 Cincinnati Bengals +1.5
Buffalo Bills 2,080 Green Bay Packers 1,369 Buffalo Bills +13
Seattle Seahawks 1,749 Denver Broncos 1,872 Denver Broncos +3.0
St. Louis Rams 1,612 Oakland Raiders 2,028 Oakland Raiders -3.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 0 San Diego Chargers 2,257 San Diego Chargers +7.0
New England Patriots 1,398 New York Jets 2,127 New York Jets +2.5
Houston Texans 0 Washington Redskins 2,083 Washington Redskins +3.0
New York Giants 2,049 Indianapolis Colts 1,282 New York Giants +5.5
New Orleans Saints 1,850 San Francisco 49ers 1,718 New Orleans Saints -5.5

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